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培养皿
Petrimin
一个 2023—2061 年的世界推演。十六个国家和阵营在 AI 竞赛、大国博弈、能源和气候里各走各的路；你只在岔路口推一把，看世界走向八种结局之一。
A world simulation · 2023–2061
Civilisation, under the microscope
Early in 2023 a chatbot reached a hundred million users in two months. From then on sixteen countries and blocs go their own way: they build chips, raise tariffs, fight over rare earths, pour concrete for data centres, and sometimes go to war. You control none of them. When one reaches a fork, you can give it a nudge.
- 16countries and blocs
- 152quarters
- 211cells in the web of fate
- 8endings
02
The web of fate
Six honeycombs, 211 cells, each rewriting one rule of the world. Some forks close the other road for good; undercurrents spread where you are not looking and erode what you have lit.
03
Everything is news
Each development lands in a named country, with the reason it happened there and then. News collects into bulletins read by two voices, each story with its picture.
04
Deterrence is fragile
The first warhead makes the news, with who fired at which city; retaliation follows. The planet’s ecology is its own reading, and it does not come back easily.
05
Sixteen countries, one table
GDP, growth, population, unemployment, chips, robots, rare earths, energy self-sufficiency, trust in AI, arms. An energy crunch can force fusion into being; joblessness can force a basic income.
06
Story lines
Chips, robots, rare earths, new energy: each thread in order, so you can see how one event led to the next.
07
Endings come with a chronicle
An age of abundance, the Great Unity, the stars, or AI takeover and nuclear winter. Afterwards a chronicle tells, era by era, how the countries got there.
2023–2026 (the first 16 quarters) is free to play. The full run to 2061 is part of Niuance+. The game is in Chinese; it plays best in a desktop browser with sound on.
推演是怎么走的
培养皿从 2023 年第一季度开始，每个季度往前走一步，最长到 2061 年。十六个国家和阵营各有自己的经济、人口、就业、产业、能源和军备；前沿 AI 的水平、大国之间的紧张度和地球生态也在一起变化。
推演完全由规则驱动，不调用大模型。同样的局面加同样的选择，得到同样的结果，所以每一条新闻都能追到原因：某一格命运之网改了一条规则，某个国家的数值越过了门槛，于是一件事在那个国家发生。一百多个历史事件和 211 格命运之网互相牵连，一局里能长出芯片战、稀土、能源危机、AI 失控这样的长线。
你手里有什么
影响力每个季度涨一点。花在岔路口，让一个国家一定做出某个选择；花在命运之网，点亮一格规则，有的格子每年还要付维持费。也可以押注：猜一件事会不会在年底前发生，猜对了赚影响力。
你不能直接替任何国家做决定。大部分时候，世界按各国自己的倾向往前走。
八种结局
文明之光和末日之钟两条进度条，谁先走满，就走向哪一边。光明的一边是礼运大同、丰饶时代、星辰大海和数字飞升；黑暗的一边是核冬天、星际流亡、AI 吞没和文明崩溃。结局之后有一份编年史，按年代写出各国是怎样一步步走到那里的。
试玩与完整版
2023—2026 年（前 16 个季度）任何人都可以免费玩。完整推演到 2061 年，是 Niuance+ 会员的内容：从 petrimin.niuance.com 打开，并在 niuance.com 登录。
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